SPC Convective Outlooks

SPC Oct 17, 2019 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (Do, 17 Okt 2019)
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Outlook Image Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0735 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2019 Valid 170100Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND LONG ISLAND... ...SUMMARY... Locally gusty/damaging thunderstorm winds may occur over southern New England and eastern Long Island tonight. ...01z Update... Surface low is deepening as it lifts northeast along the NJ coast toward Long Island. This feature appears to be handled well by latest model guidance, though dew points are 1-2 degrees F lower along Long Island than earlier RAP forecast. Weak convection is currently observed ahead of the low, extending south off the Atlantic Coast. However, lightning is currently limited to latitudes south of DE. Given the strong wind fields, will maintain low probabilities for locally damaging winds and perhaps a brief tornado with low-topped convection ahead of progressive low. ..Darrow.. 10/17/2019 Read more
>> mehr lesen